Potter creating content

The collision of “digital first” and content management

Summary: “Digital-first” workflows often assume content is independent of format. It isn’t. The medium shapes the idea. Treating content too abstractly leads to weak results; effective publishing requires respecting the constraints and creative influence of each format. I’m afraid I misled the Chinese about publishing workflows. I’m not sure their economy will recover. A friend…

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The Reach Ownership Friction matrix

The Reach–Ownership–Friction Model: A mental framework for the post-search era

Summary: Search used to give publishers reach with very little friction, even if they didn’t own the audience. Today every channel involves a trade-off between reach, ownership, and user friction, and understanding that three-way balance can help you design a smarter publishing strategy. For years, publishers could rely on search engines to deliver reach with…

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Predicting the next word

AI is not “just predicting the next word”

Summary: AI is not a mind that thinks like a human, but it’s also far more than a simple autocomplete engine predicting the next word. Its outputs come from layers of statistical processes, pattern recognition, and structured systems that make the results surprisingly sophisticated — even though the underlying mechanism is still just math. Social…

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Multiple book copies

“Write Once, Sell Many Times?” AI May Be Ending the Most Profitable Idea in Publishing

Summary: The publishing industry has historically relied on the “write once, sell many times” model, incurring high fixed costs for creation but recovering them through low-marginal-cost distribution — a system amplified by digital media like podcasts and videos. AI disrupts this by enabling personalized content generation for each user, but this new model contradicts the…

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Robot supply chain

The hamburger machine: A modern fable about artificial intelligence, universal basic income, and the end of humanity

Once upon a time, clever businessmen learned how to make a hamburger, soda, and fries for $6 — by optimizing every step of the process. Families came from everywhere to buy these burgers. It was a happy place. Then Alan Mink had an idea. “What if I replace all the workers with robots? That would…

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